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I suppose there's an element missing on liquidation value, which impacts the valuation of this and different vc investments. If uber's slowed, it is probably that it'd nonetheless be capable of find a customer in the area of the billions of greenbacks (perhaps present investor google ventures) and the modern funding may additionally nicely had been as favored stocks (potentially with a ratchet) or partially as convertible notes, limiting disadvantage for investors appreciably. This accounts for a higher valuation than just purchasing everyday shares.
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I would expect them to be lower, if buyers certainly anticipated uber and its competition to be successful and get a massive percentage of this market. In the big apple metropolis, the impact has been muted however it is nonetheless early.
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As a shipping industry insider, right here are some questions i ought to each person finding it hard to accept dr. Damodaran's views: 1) uber is prone to undercutting of fee. How would uber's revenues get affected if there's a new entrant within the marketplace that ensures ninety five of the ride fare paid to the driver? 2) uber could be very prone to deliver (of drivers, therefore cars) because of opposition. Much like uber and lyft on facebook, and also you'll see how those agencies are poaching drivers from the other. You just need to feature 3rd and 4th competitor to juice up the sport for the drivers 3) uber hasn't but buckled underneath the stress of regulations. That doesn't suggest the incumbents will wait for all time. My guess is that a number of the biggest incumbents are concerned in the previous few rounds that uber raised. They'll make their cash while uber ipos after which allow the regulations get stricter (each in legal guidelines and enforcement) 4) the simplest saving grace for uber's valuation to stay actual is the possibility of its demand prediction to be integrated with google's driverless motors. Making an investment based totally on that, regardless of how unreal or believable it's miles, is pure speculation/gamble.